I-Carbon Fiber Adoption in Wind Turbine Blades ukuze Ikhule Kakhulu

Ngomhla zingama-24 kuNhlangulana, i-Astute Analytica, umhlaziyi womhlaba wonke kanye nenkampani yokubonisana, yashicilela ukuhlaziya kwenhlangano yomhlaba wonke.i-carbon fiberemakethe yama-wind turbine rotor blades, umbiko ka-2024-2032. Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kombiko, usayizi wemakethe we-carbon fiber ku-wind turbine rotor blades wawulinganiselwa ku- $4,392 million ngo-2023, kanti kulindeleke ukuthi ufinyelele ku-$15,904 million ngo-2032, ukhula ku-CAGR ye-15.37% ngesikhathi sokubikezela sika-2024-2032. .

Amaphuzu angumongo wombiko mayelana nokusetshenziswa kwei-carbon fiberkuma-wind turbine blades afaka izigaba ezilandelayo:

• Ngokwesifunda, imakethe ye-Asia-Pacific carbon fiber yamandla omoya inkulu kakhulu ngo-2023, ibalwa ku-59.9%;
• Ngosayizi we-wind turbine blade, i-carbon fibre inesilinganiso esiphezulu sokusebenza esingu-38.4% ngosayizi wama-blade angama-51-75 m;
• Ngokombono wezingxenye zohlelo lokusebenza, ingxenye yokusetshenziswa kwe-carbon fiber ku-wind turbine blade wing beam cap iphezulu njenge-61.2%.

Izitayela eziyinhloko ekuthuthukisweni kwama-wind turbine blades eminyakeni yamuva zihlanganisa:

1. Intuthuko yezobuchwepheshe ekukhiqizeni: ukuthuthukiswa okuqhubekayo kwezinqubo zokukhiqiza i-carbon fiber kanye nezakhiwo zezinto ezibonakalayo;
2. Ukwandisa ubude be-blade: isidingo sama-blade amade futhi alula siyakhula ukuze kuthuthukiswe ukubanjwa kwamandla nokusebenza kahle;
3. Ukukhula kwemakethe yesifunda: kuqhutshwa ukwanda kwesidingo samandla kanye nezinqubomgomo zokusekelwa zikahulumeni, imakethe esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific isikhule kakhulu.

Izinselelo ezibaluleke kakhulu ekusetshenzisweni kwei-carbon fiberkuma-wind turbine blades afaka okulandelayo:

1. Izindleko eziphakeme zokuqala zokutshala imali: ukukhiqizwa kwe-carbon fiber kanye nokuhlanganiswa kuma-wind turbines kudinga imali enkulu;
2. Iketango lokunikezela nokutholakala kwezinto ezingavuthiwe, okudinga ukunikezwa okuqhubekayo kwezinto zekhwalithi ephezulu ye-carbon fiber;
3. Izithiyo zobuchwepheshe nezokukhiqiza: izinselele ekukhuphuleni ukukhiqizwa kanye nokunciphisa izindleko ukuze uqhudelane nezinto zendabuko ezifana ne-glass fiber.

Cishe ama-45% ama-wind turbine blades amasha akhiwe ngo-2024 enziwe ngawoi-carbon fiber, kanye no-70% wokufakwa komoya okusha ogwini lolwandle ngo-2023 kusebenzisa ama-carbon fiber blades

Isamba somthamo ofakiwe emhlabeni wonke sidlula i-TW ngo-2023. Lokhu kwanda okusheshayo kugcizelela indima ebalulekile yemboni ekuthuthukiseni izixazululo zamandla avuselelekayo ukuze kuliwe nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu, futhi enye yezinto ezibalulekile ezibangela izinga eliphezulu lokukhula ukukhula kwesidingo esikhulayo sezinto ezisebenza kahle nezihlala isikhathi eside ukwakhiwa kwe-turbine yomoya, ikakhulukazi i-carbon fiber yama-rotor blades.

Izakhiwo eziphakeme zezinto zokwakha ze-carbon fiber uma ziqhathaniswa nemicu yengilazi yendabuko ziqhuba ukwanda kwesidingoimicu ye-carbonama-rotor blades we-turbine yomoya. I-Carbon fiber inenani eliphezulu lamandla nesisindo, okubalulekile ekuthuthukiseni ukusebenza nokuphila isikhathi eside kwezinjini zomoya. Cishe u-45% wama-rotor blades asanda kukhiqizwa ngo-2024 enziwa nge-carbon fibre, okuwu-10% ukwenyuka kusukela onyakeni odlule. Lo mkhuba uqhutshwa isidingo sokukhiqiza amaturbine amakhulu, asebenza kahle kakhulu akwazi ukukhiqiza imiphumela ephezulu; empeleni, umthamo ojwayelekile wama-turbines ukhuphuke wafinyelela ku-4.5 megawatts (MW), okuwukukhuphuka ngamaphesenti ayi-15 ukusuka ku-2022.

Ukuhlaziywa okujulile kwe-Astute Analytica kwe-carbon fibre emakethe yama-wind turbine blades kuveza izibalo ezimbalwa ezibalulekile ezigcizelela umkhuba wokukhula okuphezulu kwe-carbon fiber kule ngxenye. Ngokuphawulekayo, amandla omoya omhlaba wonke afinyelele ku-1,008 GW, okuwukunyuka kwama-73 GW ngo-2023 kuphela. cishe u-70% wokufakwa komoya omusha ogwini lolwandle ngo-2023 (ingqikithi engu-20 GW) zisebenzisa ama-carbon fibre blades ngenxa yokumelana kwazo okuthuthukile nezindawo zasolwandle ezinonya. Ukwengeza, ukusetshenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kukhonjiswe ukwandisa ukuphila kwama-blade ngama-30% futhi kunciphise izindleko zokunakekelwa kwe-25%, isici esibalulekile sabathintekayo bemboni okuhloswe ngayo ukuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kokusebenza.

Ukwengeza, izinxephezelo zenqubomgomo kanye neziyalezo zikahulumeni zokuzuza ukungathathi hlangothi kwekhabhoni ngo-2050 kusheshise ukutshalwa kwezimali ekuthuthukiseni amapulazi omoya akhona, ngamaphrojekthi okubuyisela kabusha angama-50% ngo-2023 abandakanya ukushintshwa kwamablade e-fiberglass kusetshenziswa ezinye izindlela ze-carbon fiber.

Izigqoko ze-carbon fibre airfoil ziwukhiye wokuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kwe-wind turbine, njengoba u-70% wama-wind turbine blades amasha okulindeleke ukuthi abe nezivalo ze-carbon fibre airfoil ngo-2028.

Ngenxa yamandla athile akhethekile nokuqina kwe-carbon fibre spar caps, ucwaningo lubonisa lokhoi-carbon fiberama-spar caps angathuthukisa ukusebenza kwe-blade kufika ku-20%, okuholela ekubambeni ama-blade amade nokubamba amandla aphezulu. Ama-carbon fiber spar caps adlale indima ebalulekile ekwenyukeni ngo-30% kobude be-wind blade kule minyaka eyishumi edlule.

Esinye isizathu sokusebenzisai-carbon fiberama-spar caps kuma-wind turbine blade ukuthi wehlisa isisindo se-blade ngo-25%, okunciphisa izindleko zempahla nezokuthutha. Ngaphezu kwalokho, impilo yokukhathala ye-carbon fiber spar cap iphakeme ngo-50% kunezinto ezivamile, okunciphisa izindleko zokuyilungisa futhi kunwebe ukuphila kwe-turbine.

Njengoba imboni yomoya isebenza ukuhlangabezana nezinhloso zamandla avuselelekayo emhlabeni wonke, ukwamukelwa kwephiko le-carbon fibre kanye nama-spar caps kuzokhula nakakhulu. Kulinganiselwa ukuthi u-70% wama-wind turbine blades amasha azoba ne-carbon fiber spar caps ngo-2028, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-45% ngo-2023. Ngokuthuthuka kobuchwepheshe be-carbon fibre ekhulisa amandla ezinto ezibonakalayo ngamaphesenti ayi-10 futhi yehlisa umthelela wayo kwezemvelo ngamaphesenti angu-5, umkhakha wama-caps we-airfoil kulindeleke ukuthi ulawule futhi uguqule ukwakheka kwe-wind turbine, ukuqinisekisa ikusasa elisimeme nelisebenza kahle lamandla avuselelekayo.

Ama-51-75 m ama-wind turbine blades abusa umhlaba wonkei-carbon fiberimakethe ye-wind turbine blade, kanye nokusetshenziswa kwama-carbon fiber blades kungakhuphula ukukhiqizwa kwamandla ngamaphesenti angama-25

Iqhutshwa ukufuna ukusebenza kahle, ukuqina nokusebenza, ingxenye engamamitha angama-51-75 ye-carbon fibre emakethe ye-wind turbine blade isiphenduke amandla amakhulu ku-carbon fiber. Izakhiwo eziyingqayizivele ze-carbon fiber ziyenza ibe yimpahla efanelekile yalesi sigaba sosayizi. Isilinganiso esiphezulu samandla nesisindo siphindwe kahlanu kunesensimbi, sinciphisa ngokuphawulekayo isisindo esiphelele se-blade, okuholela ekuthathweni kwamandla nokusebenza kahle. Le ngxenye yobude imele indawo emnandi lapho ibhalansi phakathi kwezindleko zempahla nokusebenza ithuthukiswa, futhi ama-carbon fiber blades anesabelo semakethe esingu-60% kulesi sigaba.

Umnotho wamandla omoya ube negalelo elikhulu ekudumeni kwe-carbon fiber kulo mkhakha. Izindleko eziphakeme zokuqala ze-carbon fiber zisuswa impilo yayo ende kanye nokuncipha kwesondlo. Ama-blades enziwe nge-carbon fiber anempilo yesevisi ende engu-20% ebangeni lamamitha angu-51-75 uma kuqhathaniswa nama-blade enziwe ngezinto ezivamile. Ukwengeza, izindleko zomjikelezo wempilo zalawa ma-blades zehliswa ngo-15% ngenxa yokushintshwa nokulungiswa okumbalwa. Mayelana nokuphuma kwamandla, ama-turbine anama-carbon fibre blades kulolu hlu lobude angakha ugesi ofika ku-25% ngaphezulu, okuholela ekubuyeni ngokushesha ekutshalweni kwezimali. Idatha yemakethe ikhombisa ukuthi ukutholwa kwe-carbon fiber kule ngxenye kukhule ngama-30% ngonyaka kule minyaka emihlanu edlule.

I-Carbon fibre emakethe ye-wind turbine blades dynamics nayo ithonywa isidingo semithombo yamandla esimeme nevuselelekayo, ngamandla omoya kulindeleke ukuthi ahlinzeke ngo-30% kagesi womhlaba ngo-2030. Ama-blade angu-51-75 m afanele ikakhulukazi amapulazi omoya asogwini, lapho amaturbine amakhulu nasebenza kahle abalulekile. Ukusatshalaliswa kokufakwa kwe-offshore kusetshenziswa ama-carbon fibre blades kunyuke ngo-40%, okuqhutshwa izinqubomgomo zikahulumeni kanye noxhaso oluhloselwe ukwehlisa imikhondo ye-carbon. Ukubusa kwalesi sigaba semakethe kugcizelelwa futhi umnikelo we-carbon fiber wama-50% ekukhuleni okuphelele kwemboni yomoya, okwenzai-carbon fiberhhayi nje ukukhetha kwezinto ezibonakalayo, kodwa isisekelo sengqalasizinda yamandla esizayo.

Ukuphakama kwamandla omoya e-Asia-Pacific kwenza kube amandla abusayo ku-carbon fiber kuma-wind turbine blades

Iqhutshwa imboni yamandla omoya ekhulayo, i-Asia Pacific iqhamuke njengomthengi omkhulu we-carbon fibre yama-wind turbine blades. Ngokungaphezulu kuka-378.67 GW womthamo wamandla omoya afakiwe ngo-2023, isifunda sithatha cishe u-38% wamandla omoya omhlaba afakiwe. I-China ne-India ngabaholi, kanti i-China iyodwa inikela ngama-GW angama-310, noma u-89% wamandla esifunda.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-China ingumholi womhlaba kumhlangano we-onshore wind turbine nacelle, enamandla onyaka angama-82 GW. Kusukela ngoJuni 2024, i-China ifake i-410 GW yamandla omoya. Izinjongo zamandla avuselelekayo zesifunda, eziqhutshwa ukukhula kwesidingo samandla kanye nezibopho zemvelo, zidinga ubuchwepheshe obuthuthukisiwe nobusebenzayo.

Isifunda sase-Asia-Pacific sinabakhiqizi abahamba phambili be-carbon fibre, abaqinisekisa ukutholakala okuzinzile kwe-carbon fibre kanye nokuqamba okusha kwezobuchwepheshe. Imvelo engasindi ye-carbon fiber ivumela ama-rotor amadayimitha amakhulu kanye nokusebenza kahle kokubanjwa kwamandla. Lokhu kube nomphumela wokwenyuka ngo-15% kokukhishwa kwamandla okufakwayo okusha uma kuqhathaniswa nezinto ezivamile. Ngomthamo wamandla omoya okubikezelwe ukuthi uzokhula ngo-30% ngo-2030, ukwamukelwa kwe-carbon fiber kuma-turbines omoya kuzoqhubeka nokukhuphuka esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific.

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