NgoJuni 24, u-Astute Analytica, umhlalutyi wehlabathi kunye nenkampani yokubonisana, upapashe uhlalutyo lwehlabathi jikelele.carbon fiberkwimarike yee-rotor ze-injini yomoya, ingxelo ye-2024-2032. Ngokohlalutyo lwengxelo, i-carbon fiber yehlabathi kwi-wind turbine rotor blades ubukhulu bemarike yayimalunga ne-4,392 yezigidi zeedola ngo-2023, ngelixa kulindeleke ukuba ifikelele kwi-15,904 yezigidi zeedola ngo-2032, ikhula kwi-CAGR ye-15.37% ngexesha loqikelelo luka-2024-2032. .
Amanqaku angundoqo kwingxelo malunga nokusetyenziswa kwecarbon fiberkwiincakuba zeinjini yomoya ziquka la macandelo alandelayo:
- Ngokommandla, imakethi ye-Asia-Pacific carbon fiber yamandla omoya yeyona inkulu ngo-2023, ibalelwa kuma-59.9%;
- Ngobukhulu beblade ye-injini yomoya, i-carbon fiber ine-application proportion ephezulu ye-38.4% kubukhulu bamagqabi angama-51-75 m;
- Ngokwembono yamacandelo esicelo, umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kwekhabhoni fiber kwi-wind turbine blade wing beam cap uphezulu ukuya kuma-61.2%.
Ezona ndlela ziphambili zophuhliso lwamagqabi einjini yomoya kwiminyaka yakutshanje ziquka:
- Ukuqhubela phambili kwezobuchwepheshe kwimveliso: ukuphuculwa okuqhubekayo kwiinkqubo zokuvelisa i-carbon fiber kunye neempawu zezinto eziphathekayo;
- Ukwandisa ubude be-blade: imfuno ye-blade emide kunye nekhaphukhaphu ikhula ukuze kuphuculwe ukubanjwa kwamandla kunye nokusebenza kakuhle;
- Ukukhula kwemarike yommandla: kuqhutywa kukunyuka kwemfuno yamandla kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yenkxaso karhulumente, imakethi kwindawo yaseAsia-Pacific iye yanda kakhulu.
Eyona mingeni ibalulekileyo ekusetyenzisweni kwecarbon fiberkwiincakuba zeinjini yomoya ziquka oku kulandelayo:
- Iindleko eziphezulu zotyalo-mali lokuqala: ukuveliswa kwe-carbon fiber kunye nokudibanisa kwiiinjini zomoya kufuna inkunzi enkulu;
- Ikhonkco lokubonelela kunye nokufumaneka kwezinto eziluhlaza, ezifuna ukubonelelwa ngokuqhubekayo kwezinto eziphezulu ze-carbon fiber;
- Imiqobo yobugcisa kunye nemveliso: imingeni ekunyuseni imveliso kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zokukhuphisana nezinto zemveli ezifana nefiber yeglasi.
Malunga ne 45% yamagqabi amatsha einjini yomoya akhiwe ngo-2024 enziwecarbon fiber, kunye ne-70% yofakelo olutsha lomoya elwandle ngo-2023 zisebenzisa iiblade ze-carbon fiber
Umthamo ofakiweyo wehlabathi jikelele udlula i-1 TW ngo-2023.Olu lwando olukhawulezayo lugxininisa indima ephambili yoshishino ekuqhubeleni phambili izisombululo zamandla ahlaziyekayo ukulwa nokutshintsha kwemozulu, kwaye omnye wabaqhubi abaphambili emva kwezinga eliphezulu lokukhula kwemfuno ekhulayo yezinto ezisebenzayo nezizinzileyo ulwakhiwo lweinjini yomoya, ngakumbi ifayibha yekhabhoni yeencakuba ezijikelezayo.
Iipropathi eziphezulu zezixhobo zekhabhoni zefayibha xa kuthelekiswa neentsinga zeglasi zemveli ziqhuba ukunyuka kwemfunoiifayibha zekhabhonikwiincakuba zerotha zeinjini yomoya. I-Carbon fiber inomlinganiselo ophezulu wamandla-to-weight, obaluleke kakhulu ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kunye nokuphila ixesha elide kwii-injini zomoya.Around 45% ye-rotor blades esanda kuveliswa ngo-2024 yenziwe nge-carbon fiber, ukunyuka kwe-10% ukusuka kunyaka odlulileyo. Lo mkhwa uqhutywa yimfuneko yokuvelisa iiiturbines ezinkulu, ezisebenza ngokufanelekileyo ezikwaziyo ukuvelisa iziphumo eziphezulu; eneneni, umthamo we-avareji wee-turbines unyuke waya kwi-4.5 megawatts (MW), ukwanda kweepesenti ze-15 ukusuka kwi-2022.
Uhlalutyo olunzulu lwe-Astute Analytica lwefayibha yekhabhoni kwimakethi yeeblawudi ze-iturbine yomoya ityhila amanani-manani abalulekileyo agxininisa ukukhula okuphezulu kwefayibha yekhabhoni kweli candelo. Okuqaphelekayo, amandla omoya wehlabathi afikelele kwi-1,008 GW, ukonyuka kwe-73 GW ngo-2023 kuphela. malunga ne-70% yofakelo olutsha lomoya olwandle ngo-2023 (i-20 GW iyonke) isebenzisa iiblade ze-carbon fiber ngenxa yokomelezwa kwazo ukumelana nokusingqongileyo okurhabaxa elwandle. Ukongezelela, ukusetyenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kuboniswe ukwandisa ubomi bama-blades nge-30% kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zokugcinwa kwe-25%, eyona nto ibalulekileyo kumashishini achaphazelekayo ejolise ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle.
Ukongeza, inkuthazo yomgaqo-nkqubo kunye nezigunyaziso zikarhulumente zokuphumeza ukungathath' icala kwekhabhoni ngo-2050 ziye zakhawulezisa utyalo-mali ekuphuculeni iifama zomoya ezikhoyo, kunye ne-50% yeeprojekthi zokubuyisela ngo-2023 ezibandakanya ukutshintshwa kweeblades ze-fiberglass kunye nezinye iindlela ze-carbon fiber.
Iminqwazi ye-carbon fiber ye-airfoil ingundoqo ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle kwe-injini yomoya, kunye ne-70% yamagqabi amatsha e-injini yomoya ekulindeleke ukuba ibe neminqwazi ye-carbon fiber yomoya ngo-2028.
Ngombulelo kumandla athile aphezulu kunye nokuqina kwekhabhoni fiber spar caps, uphononongo lubonisa ukubacarbon fiberi-spar caps inokuphucula ukusebenza kwe-blade ukuya kuthi ga kwi-20%, okukhokelela kwii-blades ezinde kunye nokubamba amandla aphezulu. Iminqwazi yeCarbon fiber spar idlale indima ebalulekileyo ekunyukeni kwama-30% kubude beblade yomoya kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo.
Esinye isizathu sokusebenzisacarbon fiberi-spar caps kwiiblades ze-injini yomoya kukuba inciphisa ubunzima be-blade ngama-25%, oko kunciphisa iindleko zempahla kunye nokuthutha. Ukongezelela, ubomi bokukhathala kwe-carbon fiber spar cap yi-50% ephezulu kunezinto eziqhelekileyo, ezinciphisa iindleko zokugcinwa kunye nokwandisa ubomi be-turbine.
Njengoko ishishini lomoya lisebenzela ukuhlangabezana nokujoliswe kuko kumandla ahlaziyekayo kwihlabathi, ukwamkelwa kwephiko le-carbon fiber kunye ne-spar caps kuya kwanda ngakumbi. Kuqikelelwa ukuba i-70% yamagqabi amatsha einjini yomoya iya kuba ne-carbon fiber spar caps ngo-2028, xa kuthelekiswa ne-45% ngo-2023. Ngokuhambela phambili kubuchwepheshe bekhabhoni ifibre yokwandisa amandla ezinto nge-10 ekhulwini kunye nokunciphisa impembelelo yayo yokusingqongileyo ngepesenti ezi-5, ibala leminqwazi ye-airfoil kulindeleke ukuba lilawule kwaye liguqule uyilo lwe-injini yomoya, ukuqinisekisa ikamva elizinzileyo nelisebenzayo lamandla ahlaziyekayo.
I-51-75 m iiblade zeinjini yomoya zilawula ihlabathicarbon fiberImakethi yeblade ye-injini yomoya, kunye nokusetyenziswa kweeblade ze-carbon fibre kunokunyusa ukuveliswa kwamandla ngama-25 ekhulwini
Iqhutywa kukufuna ukusebenza kakuhle, ukuqina kunye nokusebenza, i-51-75 yeemitha ze-carbon fiber segment ye-wind turbine blade market ibe yeyona nto ingamandla kwi-carbon fiber. Iimpawu ezikhethekileyo ze-carbon fiber zenza ukuba ibe yinto efanelekileyo yolu hlobo lobungakanani. Ubungakanani obuphezulu bezinto eziphathekayo bubunzima obuphindwe kahlanu bentsimbi, ukunciphisa kakhulu ubunzima obupheleleyo be-blade, okubangelwa ukuphuculwa kwamandla kunye nokusebenza kakuhle. Eli candelo lobude limele indawo emnandi apho ibhalansi phakathi kweendleko zempahla kunye nokusebenza kuphuculwe, kwaye i-carbon fiber blades ine-60% yesabelo semarike kolu didi.
Uqoqosho lwamandla omoya lube negalelo ngakumbi ekwandeni kwe-carbon fiber kweli candelo. Iindleko zokuqala eziphezulu ze-carbon fiber zichithwa kubomi bayo obude kunye nokunciphisa ukugcinwa. Amacwecwe enziwe nge-carbon fiber ane-20% yobomi benkonzo ende kwi-51-75 yeemitha xa kuthelekiswa namacwecwe enziwe ngezinto eziqhelekileyo. Ukongeza, iindleko zomjikelo wobomi bezi blades zincitshiswa nge-15% ngenxa yokutshintshwa kunye nokulungiswa okumbalwa. Ngokubhekiselele kwimveliso yamandla, ii-turbines ezine-carbon fiber blades kolu luhlu lobude zinokuvelisa ukuya kwi-25% yombane ongaphezulu, okukhokelela ekubuyiseleni ngokukhawuleza kutyalo-mali. Idatha yentengiso ibonisa ukuba ukwamkelwa kwe-carbon fiber kweli candelo kukhule nge-30% ngonyaka kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo.
Ifayibha yekhabhoni kwiibhleyidi zemakethi ye-injini yomoya zikwaphenjelelwa yimfuno yemithombo yamandla ezinzileyo nehlaziyekayo, ngamandla omoya aqikelelwa ukuba abonelele nge-30% yombane wehlabathi ngo-2030. I-51-75 m iibhleyidi zifaneleke ngokukodwa iifama zomoya ezikude nonxweme, apho iiiturbines ezinkulu nezisebenzayo zibalulekile. Ukusasazwa kofakelo lwe-offshore usebenzisa i-carbon fiber blades kuye kwanda nge-40%, eqhutywa yimigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente kunye nenkxaso-mali ejoliswe ekunciphiseni i-carbon footprints. Ukongamela kweli candelo lemarike kugxininiswa ngakumbi ligalelo le-50% ye-carbon fiber kuhlumo lulonke lweshishini lomoya, okwenzacarbon fiberkungekhona nje ukhetho lwezinto eziphathekayo, kodwa ilitye lesiseko seziseko zamandla ezizayo.
Amandla omoya aseAsia-Pacific awenza amandla aphambili kwifayibha yekhabhoni yeeblades zeinjini yomoya.
Iqhutywa lishishini lamandla omoya elikhulayo, i-Asia Pacific iye yavela njengomthengi ophambili we-carbon fiber kwii-wind turbine blades. Ngaphezulu kwe-378.67 GW yomthamo wamandla omoya afakelweyo ngo-2023, lo mmandla uthatha malunga ne-38% yomthamo ofakelweyo wamandla omoya kwihlabathi jikelele. I-China kunye ne-Indiya zinkokheli, kunye ne-China kuphela enegalelo elimangalisayo le-310 GW, okanye i-89% yomthamo wendawo.
Ukongeza, iChina iyinkokeli yehlabathi kwindibano ye-onshore wind turbine nacelle, enomthamo wonyaka wama-82 GW. Ukusukela ngoJuni ka-2024, i-China ifake i-410 GW yamandla omoya. Iinjongo zommandla zamandla ahlaziyekayo ezinobundlobongela, eziqhutywa kukukhula kwemfuno yamandla kunye nezibophelelo zokusingqongileyo, zifuna ubugcisa obuphambili nobusebenzayo.
Ummandla we-Asia-Pacific unabakhiqizi abahamba phambili be-carbon fiber, ukuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa okuzinzile kwe-carbon fiber kunye nokutsha kwezobuchwepheshe. Ubume obukhaphukhaphu bekhabhoni ifayibha ivumela iidiameters ezinkulu ze-rotor kunye nokuphuculwa kokubanjwa kwamandla. Oku kube nesiphumo sokunyuka kwe-15% kwimveliso yamandla kufakelo olutsha xa kuthelekiswa nezinto eziqhelekileyo. Ngomthamo wamandla omoya oqikelelwa ukuba uza kukhula nge-30% ngo-2030, ukwamkelwa kwefayibha yekhabhoni kwiiinjini zomoya kuza kuqhubeka nokunyuka kwingingqi ye-Asia-Pacific.
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